StatSheet Projects UCLA as NCAA Tournament Bubble Team 11 Seed: 03/03/2013

Filed under StatSeed Update on March 3rd, 2013
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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.

StatSheet now projects UCLA on the bubble for the NCAA Tournament with potentially an 11 seed. The Bruins are unranked in the AP Poll and sit at #38 in the StatSheet StatRank with a 22-7 overall record and a 12-4 record in the Pac-12.

During its last four games, UCLA picked up a quality win against AP #11 Arizona and wins against Arizona State, USC, and Stanford.

UCLA is stable against strong competition, with an 11-6 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 5-4 record against the RPI Top 50 and a 2-2 record against AP ranked teams. The Bruins have five quality wins including AP #11 Arizona (2 wins), RPI #25 Colorado, RPI #40 California, and RPI #34 Missouri They have a single bad loss against RPI #180 Cal Poly.

The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Alabama (19-10, 11-5 SEC, StatRank #60), Boise State (20-8, 8-6 Mountain West, StatRank #40), Virginia (20-8, 10-5 ACC, StatRank #58), and Baylor (17-12, 8-8 Big 12, StatRank #59).

The first four teams out are Maryland (20-9, 8-8 ACC, StatRank #70), St. John's (16-12, 8-8 Big East, StatRank #73), Southern Miss (22-7, 11-3 Conference USA, StatRank #46), and Temple (21-8, 9-5 A-10, StatRank #50).

The next four out are Arkansas (18-11, 9-7 SEC, StatRank #71), California (20-9, 12-5 Pac-12, StatRank #41), La Salle (20-7, 10-4 A-10, StatRank #45), and Wichita State (24-7, 12-6 Missouri Valley, StatRank #42).

Regional 1
#1Duke
#2Florida
#3Kansas State
#4Minnesota
#5Marquette
#6Arizona
#7Illinois
#8Butler
#9Belmont
#10Kentucky
#11Iowa State
#12Baylor
#13Akron
#14Bucknell
#15Montana
#16Long Beach State
#17CSU
Regional 2
#1Indiana
#2Georgetown
#3Louisville
#4New Mexico
#5UNLV
#6Colorado State
#7Notre Dame
#8Colorado
#9Cincinnati
#10Louisiana Tech
#11Tennessee
#12Ole Miss
#13Alabama
#14Davidson
#15Princeton
#16Mercer
#17Norfolk State
Regional 3
#1Kansas
#2Gonzaga
#3Michigan State
#4North Carolina
#5Oklahoma State
#6NC State
#7Pittsburgh
#8Memphis
#9MTSU
#10Oregon
#11UCLA
#12Saint Mary's
#13Boise State
#14Stephen F. Austin
#15Robert Morris
#16Niagara
#17Northeastern
Regional 4
#1Miami (FL)
#2Michigan
#3Syracuse
#4Ohio State
#5Wisconsin
#6Oklahoma
#7Saint Louis
#8Missouri
#9San Diego State
#10VCU
#11Villanova
#12Virginia
#13Creighton
#14Valparaiso
#15Stony Brook
#16Western Illinois
#17Texas Southern

NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference


Conf
NCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big East8 1650.0%
Big Ten7 1258.3%
Big 126 1060.0%
SEC6 1250.0%
ACC5 1241.7%
Mountain West5 862.5%
Pac-124 1233.3%
A-103 1421.4%
West Coast2 922.2%
Big West1 911.1%
Missouri Valley1 1010.0%
SoCon1 128.3%
Patriot1 812.5%
Ohio Valley1 119.1%
MAC1 128.3%
Big South1 119.1%
WAC1 812.5%
Conference USA1 128.3%
Atlantic Sun1 1010.0%
Sun Belt1 128.3%
Big Sky1 911.1%
MAAC1 1010.0%
MEAC1 137.7%
CAA1 128.3%
Ivy League1 812.5%
NEC1 128.3%
Southland1 128.3%
America East1 911.1%
SWAC1 1010.0%
Horizon1 1010.0%
Summit League1 1010.0%

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Season Preview: UCLA should not be significantly better or worse than last year. Read our Season Preview
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Pac-12 Standings

OverallConf
1 Arizona 33-5 15-3
 2UCLA 28-9 12-6
3 Oregon 24-10 10-8
3 Colorado 23-12 10-8
3 Stanford 23-13 10-8
3 Arizona State 21-12 10-8
3 California 21-14 10-8
8 Utah 21-12 9-9
8 Washington 17-15 9-9
10 Oregon State 16-16 8-10
11 WSU 10-21 3-15
12 USC 11-21 2-16
Last updated: Apr 10th, 2014

2013-2014 Roster

#3 Jordan Adams So G 6-5 220
#20 Bryce Alford Fr G 6-3 180
#2 Kory Alford So G 6-4 190
#22 Noah Allen Fr G/F 6-6 215
#5 Kyle Anderson So G/F 6-9 230
#1 Wanaah Bail Fr F 6-9 215
#13 David Brown Jr G 6-3 185
#44 S. Derboghosian Sr C 6-10 255
#10 Isaac Hamilton Fr G 6-5 185
#0 Nick Kazemi So G 6-3 205
#14 Zach LaVine Fr G 6-5 180
#23 Tony Parker So F/C 6-9 255
#4 Norman Powell Jr G 6-4 215
#12 David Wear Sr F 6-10 230
#24 Travis Wear Sr F 6-10 230
#30 Aubrey Williams Sr G 5-8 175